51% of Early Voters Say They Chose Romney

A total of 36% of Republican Primary voters say that they have already voted by absentee ballot or in early voting.

Mitt Romney continues to lead the Florida Republican presidential primary. Romney leads with 43%, followed by Newt Gingrich with 31%, Rick Santorum with 13%, and Ron Paul with 9%, according to the final ARG survey of Florida.

In a similar survey conducted January 27-28, 2012, Romney was at 43% and Gingrich was at 32%.

  • A total of 36% of Republican primary voters say that they have already voted by absentee ballot or in early voting.
  • Of this group of voters, Romney leads with 51%, followed by Gingrich with 29%, Santorum with 12%, and Paul with 8%.
  • Among the 64% of the remaining likely Republican primary voters, Romney leads with 39%, followed by Gingrich with 32%, Santorum with 14%, and Paul with 10%.

Based on the votes already cast through absentee ballots and early voting and assuming Romney holds his vote, Gingrich would need to receive 51% of the votes cast on Election Day to tie Romney at 43%.

That represents all of the undecided vote plus Ron Paul's expected vote on election day or 71% of Santorum's expected vote on Election Day.

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